Journal of Food Security. 2019, 7(4), 109-114
DOI: 10.12691/JFS-7-4-2
Original Research

Factors Influencing Rice Availability in Togo

Raïfatou Affoh1, , Zhao Guiyu1, Aletha Janjey Quoi1, Kokou Dangui2 and Mohammed Sharif Swallah3

1College of Economics and Management, Jilin Agricultural University, Changchun, 130118 China

2Dongling School of Economics and Management, University of Science and Technology, Beijing, 100086 China

3School of Food Science and Technology, Jilin Agricultural University, Changchun, 130118 China

Pub. Date: August 01, 2019

Cite this paper

Raïfatou Affoh, Zhao Guiyu, Aletha Janjey Quoi, Kokou Dangui and Mohammed Sharif Swallah. Factors Influencing Rice Availability in Togo. Journal of Food Security. 2019; 7(4):109-114. doi: 10.12691/JFS-7-4-2

Abstract

Rice is among the most consumed cereal crops in Togo with demand growing sharply over the years, due to the population growth and the change in consumer preference. It therefore plays a fundamental role in achieving food security in the country. This paper analyzed the determinants of rice availability in Togo. Secondary time series data from 1989 to 2013 were used. A Fully Modified Least Square (FMLOS) regression was used for the analysis. The study found that rice yield, exchange rate and total arable land had a positive and significant influence on rice supply whereas real per capita gross domestic product and foreign interest rate had negative impacts on rice supply in Togo. Therefore, government policy should focus on increasing the use of improved technologies such as improved seeds and fertilizers to improve rice yield, hence the overall food availability and indirectly food security in Togo.

Keywords

food security, rice supply, determinants, FMOLS, Togo

Copyright

Creative CommonsThis work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License. To view a copy of this license, visit http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/

References

[1]  Barrett, C. B., “Measuring food insecurity,” Science, 327, 825-828, 2010.
 
[2]  FAO, IFAD, UNICEF, WFP and WHO: The State of Food Security and Nutrition in the World 2018. Building climate resilience for food security and nutrition, Rome, FAO, 2018.
 
[3]  World Food Program, TOGO Country Brief, 2018.
 
[4]  Ricepedia, ricepedia.org/index.php/challenges/food-security.
 
[5]  Ministry of Agriculture, Livestock and Fisherie (MAEP) Togo, National Strategy for Rice Development, October, 2010.
 
[6]  Astou, Dioume, Food Imports as a Hindrance to Food Security and Sustainable development: The Cases of Nigeria and Senegal, Master’s thesis, City University of New York (CUNY) Academic Works, 2015.
 
[7]  Laborde, D., Tokgoz, S. and Torero, M., Long-Term Drivers of Food and Nutrition, IFPRI, FOODSECURE working paper no. 06, February 2013.
 
[8]  Adom, P. K., “Determinants of food availability and access in Ghana: what can we learn beyond the regression results?”, Studies in Agricultural Economics, 116(3), 153-164, (2014).
 
[9]  Kargbo, J.M., “Impacts of Monetary and Macroeconomic Factors on Food Prices in Eastern and Southern Africa’, Applied Economics 32, 1373-1389, 2000.
 
[10]  Carter, K.N., Lanumata, T. and Gorten, D., “What are the determinants of food security in New Zealand and does this differ for males and females?”, Australian and New Zealand Journal of Public Health, 34(6), 602-608, 2010.
 
[11]  Herath, H.M.S.P., Liang, C. and Yongbing, C., “Impacts of regional trade agreements on food security: A case of ASEAN free trade agreement”, International Journal of Social Science and interdisciplinary Research, 3 (3), 147-157, 2014.
 
[12]  Tadesse, G., Algieri, B., Kalkuhl, M., & von Braun, J., “Drivers and triggers of international food price spikes and volatility”, Food Policy, 47, 117-128, 2014.
 
[13]  Kavallari, A., Fellmann, T., & Gay, S. H., “Shocks in economic growth = shocking effects for food security?”, Food Security, 6(4), 567–583, 2014.
 
[14]  Kargbo, J.M., “Impacts of Monetary and Macroeconomic Factors on Food Prices in West Africa”, Agrekon, 44, 205-224, 2005.
 
[15]  Asfaha, T.A. and Jooste, A., “The Effect of Monetary Changes on Relative Agricultural Prices”, Agrekon, 46, 440-474, 2007.
 
[16]  Mitchell, D., A Note on Rising Food Prices, Policy Research Working Paper 4682. Washington DC: World Bank, 2008
 
[17]  Lombardi, M., Osbat, C. and Schnatz, B., Global Commodity Cycles and Linkages: A FAVAR Approach, Working Paper Series No. 1170, Frankfurt am Main: European Central Bank, 2010.
 
[18]  Algieri, B., A Roller Coaster Ride: An Empirical Investigation of the Main Drivers of Wheat Price. ZEF-Discussion Papers on Development Policy No. 176. Bonn, University of Bonn, 2013.
 
[19]  Akbari, A.H. and Rankaduwa, W., Determinants of Inflation and Feasibility of Inflation targeting in Small Emerging Market Economy: The Case of Pakistan, Paper presented at the SBP conference: Monetary-cum Exchange Rate: What Works Best for the Emerging Market Economies? Karachi, 14-15 November 2005.
 
[20]  Vansteenkiste, I., How important are common factors in driving non-fuel commodity prices? A dynamic factor analysis, Working Paper Series No. 1072, Frankfurt am Main: European Central Bank, 2009.
 
[21]  Byrne, J.P., Fazio, G. and Fiess, N., “Primary commodity prices: Co-movements, common factors and fundamentals”, Journal of Development Economics, 101, 16-26, 2013.
 
[22]  Gani, A., & Prasad, B. C., “Food security and human development”, International Journal of Social Economics, 34(5), 310-319, 2007.
 
[23]  Sakyi, P., Determinants of food accessibility of rural households in the Limpopo Province, South Africa, Unpublished MSc dissertation, Gent: Gent University, 2012.
 
[24]  Foley, W., Ward, P., Carter, P., Conveney, J., Tsourtos, G. and Taylor, A., “An ecological analysis of factors associated with food insecurity in South Australia”, 2002-7, Public Health Nutrition, 13 (2), 215-22, 2009.
 
[25]  Sekhampu, T., “Determination of the Factors Affecting the Food Security Status of Households in Bophelong, South Africa”, International Business & Economics Research Journal, 12(5), 543, 2013.
 
[26]  Armah, F.A., Odoi, J.O., Yengoh, G.T., Obiri, S., Yawson, D.O. and Afrifa, E.K.A., “Food security and climate change in drought-sensitive savanna zones of Ghana”, Mitigation and Adaptation Strategies for Global Change, 16(3), 291-306, 2011.
 
[27]  Badolo, F. and Kinda Somlanare, R., Climatic Variability and Food Security in Developing Countries, Etudes et Document no. 05, Clermont Ferrand: CERDI, 2014.
 
[28]  Van Dijk, M.R.M., Van Rooij, W. and Hilderink, H., “Land use dynamics, climate change, and food security in Vietnam. A global-to-local modelling approach”, World Development, 59(C), 29-46, 2014.
 
[29]  Fosu, K.Y. and Heerink, N., Food security and nutrition: implications of policy reforms with a case study from Ghana, Wageningen Agricultural University, 2009.
 
[30]  Phillips, P.C.B. and Hansen, B.E., “Statistical inference in instrumental variables regression with I (1) processes”, Review of Economic Studies, 57, 99-125, 1990.
 
[31]  EViews 10 User’s Guide II, October, 2017.
 
[32]  Phillips, P.C.B., “Fully modified least squares and vector autoregression”, Econometrica, 63, 1023-1078, 1995.
 
[33]  Zhao, C., Liu, B., Piao, S., Wang, X., Lobell, D. B., Huang, Y., Huang, M., Yao, Y., Bassu, S., Ciais, P., Durand, J-L., Elliott, J., Ewert, F., Janssens, I. A., Li, T., Lin, E., Liu, Q., Martre, P., Müller, C., Peng, S., Peñuelas, J., Ruane, A. C., Wallach, D., Wang, T., Wu, D., Liu, Z., Zhu, Y., Zhu, Z., and Asseng, S., “Temperature increase reduces global yields of major crops in four independent estimates”, Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, 114(35), 9326-9331, 2017.
 
[34]  Headey, D. and Fan, S., Anatomy of a Crisis: The Causes and Consequences of Surging Food Prices, IFPRI Discussion Paper 00831. Washington DC: IFPRI. 2008.
 
[35]  Bafes, J. and Haniotis, T., Placing the 2006/08 Commodity Price Boom into Perspective, Policy Research Working Paper 5371.